Rain may impact Fourth of July

Posted at 5:50 PM, Jul 02, 2018
and last updated 2018-07-02 18:50:03-04

The forecast for the Fourth of July has a lot of uncertainty in it. One thing that is for certain—if it rains, it will rain hard because our atmosphere will be loaded with moisture by that time.

Tuesday’s forecast

Not much changes as we head into Tuesday. High temperatures will be in the low 90s with heat index values over 105 degrees during the heat of the day. The morning will bring a mix of sun and clouds with mostly sunny skies taking over late in the day.

Fourth of July

High uncertainty remains in the forecast for the Fourth of July. Here’s a breakdown of what we know:

An area of low pressure is sitting over the northern Gulf and will be moving into Texas on Independence Day. Along with the low pressure will be a surge of moisture in the atmosphere. These ingredients coming together will definitely produce rain, but the question is where. That is the million dollar question.

Rainfall looks very likely if you’re heading to the upper-Texas coastline or southeast Texas near Houston. As for the Coastal Bend, the chance for rain is highly dependent on the track of the area of low pressure. As of the current forecast track, Corpus Christi looks to see scattered rain especially late Wednesday through early Thursday. This could disrupt Independence Day festivities including the city’s fireworks display. You will want to stay tuned on the latest forecast as we approach the event.

If the area of low pressure tracks a little further to the north than currently forecast, our rain chances go down significantly. However, if the low pressure tracks further to the south or right over top of us, then our rain chances will rise significantly. Any small changes in the forecast will alter our chance of rain and the possibility of those fireworks displays being disrupted. As mentioned previously, if it rains, it will pour since our atmosphere will have high amounts of moisture in it.