Cool and damp Thursday, Arctic air arrives later this weekend

Rain, sleet and freezing rain possible Sunday night-Monday
Posted at 5:16 PM, Feb 10, 2021
and last updated 2021-02-10 18:16:28-05

We are still watching Arctic air in the central U.S. which will make it's way south and into south Texas this weekend. Before that, we'll cool down as cooler air moves in Wednesday night with rain developing for Thursday. Clouds will stick around with occasional light rain or drizzle Friday and Saturday in the cool air. Bitterly cold air and possible sleet and freezing rain are still expected by late Sunday and Monday with a hard freeze likely Monday night into Tuesday morning. As new forecast model data comes in, we'll tweak the forecast and will have new information each day. For now, here is how it's looking. Please check the forecast daily as it could change.

Winds will shift to the northeast up to 20 mph Wednesday night with light showers developing overnight and lows in the upper 40s to low 50s. It will be cool and damp Thursday with showers likely and high temperatures only near 60 with northeast winds at 15-22 mph.

Some drizzle or light rain is possible in the overcast skies Friday morning with a cloudy and cool afternoon, in the 50s, dropping into the low 40s Friday night.

We'll stay in the lower 50s Saturday afternoon with a chance of light rain before much colder air moves in. Colder air will arrive late Saturday night, dropping temperatures to near freezing inland Sunday morning and into the lower to mid 30s closer to the coast .

It will stay chilly Sunday, in the low 40s for afternoon highs with northerly winds at 15-20 mph making it feel more like the upper teens and 20s early in the day. The clouds will stick around with light rain developing Sunday evening and overnight.

An upper level wave will move in from the west causing warm, moist air to override the shallow, very cold air at the surface. This will cause a cold rain to develop Sunday night and turn to sleet at times early Monday as temperatures stay in the 30s. We could have some freezing rain early Monday morning before surface temperatures rise above freezing.
Northerly winds at 15-20 mph Monday will produce dangerously cold wind chills, making it feel like the upper teens to 20s Monday. Wind chills in the afternoon will stay near 30 as actual temperatures reach the upper 30s. Rain will end by Monday evening as the upper level wave moves east.
Tuesday morning is expected to be the coldest, dropping into the mid to upper 20s. This will depend on how fast the clouds and rain move out Monday night. Nevertheless, it will be cold with a hard freeze likely Tuesday morning and afternoon highs only reaching near 40 as sunshine gradually returns.

The rest of next week we'll warm back up to near normal temperatures by the end of the work week. There is another chance of rain Wednesday.